Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1329
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
DL 1329 · ATL → PHL
departs 4:05 PM ET · arrives 6:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 27%
Sat 11/14 22%
Sun 11/15 35%
Mon 11/16 21%
Tue 11/17 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±4 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at PHL that day
↑
Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late
↑
4pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
PHL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 1,300 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.