Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1371 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow

DL 1371 · STL → DTW

departs 4:14 PM CT · arrives 6:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±4 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at DTW that day

↑ 4pm departures from STL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

DTW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1371 · STL → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?