Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1378
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
DL 1378 · FLL → DTW
departs 2:07 PM ET · arrives 4:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 17%
Sat 11/14 22%
Sun 11/15 24%
Mon 11/16 15%
Tue 11/17 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DTW that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.