Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1491 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow

DL 1491 · ATL → AUS

departs 3:50 PM ET · arrives 5:19 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 31h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±4 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1491 · ATL → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?