Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1557 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow

DL 1557 · BNA → DTW

departs 2:03 PM CT · arrives 4:46 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at DTW that day

↑ 2pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

DTW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1557 · BNA → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?