Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1608
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
DL 1608 · MCO → BOS
departs 3:36 PM ET · arrives 6:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Wed 11/11 18%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 50%
Sat 11/14 24%
Sun 11/15 35%
Mon 11/16 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
61%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
61%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,200 ft forecast at BOS that day
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
BOS is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 433 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.