Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1716
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
DL 1716 · ORD → DTW
departs 2:07 PM CT · arrives 4:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 16%
Sat 11/14 27%
Sun 11/15 38%
Mon 11/16 22%
Tue 11/17 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±8 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↑
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at ORD that day
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.