Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1816
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
DL 1816 · PVR → ATL
departs 2:51 PM CST · arrives 7:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 22%
Sat 11/14 16%
Sun 11/15 19%
Mon 11/16 14%
Tue 11/17 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave PVR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PVR (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.