Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1908
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
DL 1908 · JFK → SDQ
departs 2:01 PM ET · arrives 6:51 PM AST
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Tue 11/10 17%
Wed 11/11 10%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 32%
Sat 11/14 18%
Sun 11/15 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at SDQ more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SDQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at SDQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SDQ?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at JFK that day
↑
2pm departures from JFK are often late
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at SDQ that day
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
SDQ usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.16 in
SDQ (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.