Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1918
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
DL 1918 · NAS → JFK
departs 1:02 PM EST · arrives 3:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Wed 11/11 8%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 25%
Sat 11/14 15%
Sun 11/15 22%
Mon 11/16 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave NAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at JFK that day
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
NAS (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,533 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.01 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.