Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1976
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
DL 1976 · NAS → ATL
departs 3:15 PM EST · arrives 5:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 7%
Wed 11/11 8%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 11%
Sat 11/14 12%
Sun 11/15 14%
Mon 11/16 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave NAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at NAS
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
NAS (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,567 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.11 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.