DL 2293 · JFK → ATL

took off 5:50 PM ET · expected to land 7:59 PM ET (scheduled 4:10 PM ET → 6:32 PM ET)

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
99%
Over 2 hours late
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,233 ft forecast at JFK that day

↑ 4pm departures from JFK are often late

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility5.33333 mi Precip0.10 in

ATL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2293 · JFK → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?