Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2312
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
DL 2312 · EWR → ATL
departs 3:21 PM ET · arrives 5:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 AM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Wed 11/11 16%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 43%
Sat 11/14 24%
Sun 11/15 37%
Mon 11/16 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
31%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at EWR that day
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
3pm departures from EWR are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.55 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.