Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2322
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
DL 2322 · ATL → EWR
departs 1:09 PM ET · arrives 3:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Tue 11/10 7%
Wed 11/11 17%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 46%
Sat 11/14 28%
Sun 11/15 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
EWR (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.