Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2342
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
DL 2342 · JFK → ATL
departs 1:10 PM ET · arrives 3:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Tue 11/10 8%
Wed 11/11 6%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 21%
Sat 11/14 16%
Sun 11/15 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±11 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at JFK that day
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↑
1pm departures from JFK are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.20 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.