Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2573
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
DL 2573 · DTW → EWR
departs 2:10 PM ET · arrives 3:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Wed 11/11 13%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 47%
Sat 11/14 34%
Sun 11/15 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±14 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↑
2pm departures from DTW are often late
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.04 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.