Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2577
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
DL 2577 · EWR → DTW
departs 1:00 PM ET · arrives 2:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Wed 11/11 8%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 27%
Sat 11/14 21%
Sun 11/15 24%
Mon 11/16 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at EWR that day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,200 ft forecast at DTW that day
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.42 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.