Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2602
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
DL 2602 · DTW → LGA
departs 2:02 PM ET · arrives 3:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Tue 11/10 16%
Wed 11/11 9%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 44%
Sat 11/14 24%
Sun 11/15 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±19 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.04 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.