Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2748
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
DL 2748 · LGA → BNA
departs 1:26 PM ET · arrives 2:48 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Tue 11/10 19%
Wed 11/11 12%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 39%
Sun 11/15 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±10 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at LGA that day
↑
1pm departures from LGA are often late
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.04 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.