Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 275 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12

DL 275 · DTW → HND

departs 2:12 PM ET · arrives 5:13 PM JST

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 63h before departure

Arrive at HND more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HND?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.04 in

HND (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 275 · DTW → HND

Odds over time

How late will it get to HND?