Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2824
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
DL 2824 · CVG → MCO
departs 3:58 PM ET · arrives 6:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 16%
Sun 11/15 22%
Mon 11/16 21%
Tue 11/17 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,267 ft forecast at CVG that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,267 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.20 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.