Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2956
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
DL 2956 · PHL → ATL
departs 3:58 PM ET · arrives 6:09 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 24%
Sat 11/14 13%
Sun 11/15 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at PHL that day
↑
3pm departures from PHL are often late
↑
PHL is prone to delays
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at ATL that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.20 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.