Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3026
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
DL 3026 · ATL → HSV
departs 3:56 PM ET · arrives 4:01 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 11%
Sat 11/14 10%
Sun 11/15 18%
Mon 11/16 9%
Tue 11/17 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at HSV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HSV?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at ATL that day
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
HSV (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.