Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3122
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
DL 3122 · ATL → PIT
departs 3:09 PM ET · arrives 4:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 12%
Sat 11/14 13%
Sun 11/15 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at PIT that day
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
PIT (destination)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 400 ft
Visibility 1 mi
Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.