Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 333 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12

DL 333 · LAS → JFK

departs 10:03 AM PT · arrives 5:57 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 61h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 333 · LAS → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?