Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 366 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12

DL 366 · ATL → PHX

departs 1:01 PM ET · arrives 3:26 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 61h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ 1pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at ATL that day

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 366 · ATL → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?