Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 597 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12

DL 597 · CUN → ATL

departs 3:21 PM EST · arrives 6:09 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · 53h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at CUN

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CUN (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 597 · CUN → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?