Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 679 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow

DL 679 · JFK → SFO

departs 4:07 PM ET · arrives 7:21 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±16 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at JFK that day

↑ 4pm departures from JFK are often late

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.49 in

SFO (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 679 · JFK → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?