DL 730 · BOS → RSW

departs 3:01 PM ET · arrives 6:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 467 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ Arrivals into RSW at that hour are often late

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling467 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.16 in

RSW (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 730 · BOS → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?