Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 952 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12

DL 952 · LGA → DTW

departs 2:47 PM ET · arrives 4:33 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±14 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 2pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.29 in

DTW (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 952 · LGA → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?