Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3909
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
OO 3909 · DTW → AZO
departs 9:33 PM ET · arrives 10:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 14%
Sat 11/14 17%
Sun 11/15 24%
Mon 11/16 22%
Tue 11/17 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at AZO more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AZO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at AZO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to AZO?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↑
9pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
AZO usually runs smoothly
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.18 in
AZO (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.