Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4297
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
OO 4297 · DTW → SAW
departs 9:32 PM ET · arrives 7:02 AM +03
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Wed 11/11 23%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 14%
Sat 11/14 16%
Sun 11/15 24%
Mon 11/16 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAW more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
11%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at SAW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to SAW?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of snow forecast at SAW that day
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Arrivals into SAW at that hour are usually not late
↓
SAW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.20 in
SAW (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.