Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4699
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
OO 4699 · ONT → SFO
departs 6:34 PM PT · arrives 8:10 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 91%
Sun 11/15 46%
Mon 11/16 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±11 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave ONT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 51% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ONT
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ONT (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.