Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4972
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
OO 4972 · ORD → EVV
departs 10:34 PM CT · arrives 11:53 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 16%
Sat 11/14 27%
Sun 11/15 28%
Mon 11/16 23%
Tue 11/17 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at EVV more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EVV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at EVV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EVV?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↓
EVV usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.03 in
EVV (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.