Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4984
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
OO 4984 · ORD → ALB
departs 8:50 PM CT · arrives 11:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 11/11 33%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 37%
Sat 11/14 42%
Sun 11/15 52%
Mon 11/16 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at ALB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ALB?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ALB that day
↑
Arrivals into ALB at that hour are often late
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
ALB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
ALB (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.