Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5017
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
OO 5017 · ORD → CKB
departs 7:47 PM CT · arrives 10:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 11/11 31%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 29%
Sat 11/14 32%
Mon 11/16 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at CKB more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CKB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at CKB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CKB?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
CKB usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
CKB (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.