Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5314
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
OO 5314 · ORD → LNK
departs 7:51 PM CT · arrives 9:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Wed 11/11 37%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 36%
Sat 11/14 39%
Sun 11/15 46%
Mon 11/16 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at LNK more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LNK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at LNK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LNK?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LNK
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
LNK (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.