Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5349
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
OO 5349 · FAT → SFO
departs 6:40 PM PT · arrives 7:44 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 11/11 19%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 47%
Sat 11/14 33%
Sun 11/15 42%
Mon 11/16 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±13 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FAT (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 3 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 8,567 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.