Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5423
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
OO 5423 · ORD → LEX
departs 9:29 PM CT · arrives 12:00 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 31%
Sat 11/14 37%
Sun 11/15 42%
Mon 11/16 34%
Tue 11/17 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at LEX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to LEX?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
LEX usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.04 in
LEX (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.