Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5722
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
OO 5722 · SFO → BFL
departs 2:11 PM PT · arrives 3:29 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 44%
Sun 11/15 36%
Mon 11/16 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at BFL more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±4 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BFL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at BFL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BFL?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9.66667 mi Precip none
BFL (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.