Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5724
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
OO 5724 · SFO → RDD
departs 9:01 PM PT · arrives 10:16 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 11/12
Sat 11/14 18%
Sun 11/15 35%
Mon 11/16 33%
Tue 11/17 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDD more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±10 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at RDD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDD?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
9pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDD
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 9,567 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
RDD (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.