Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5729
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
OO 5729 · CHS → ORD
departs 6:58 PM ET · arrives 8:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 11/11 26%
Thu 11/12
Sun 11/15 31%
Mon 11/16 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave CHS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
CHS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CHS (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.