Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5936
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
OO 5936 · ORD → TVC
departs 9:24 PM CT · arrives 11:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Wed 11/11 34%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 32%
Sat 11/14 38%
Sun 11/15 43%
Mon 11/16 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at TVC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to TVC?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at TVC
↑
This flight has been late 44% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
TVC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
TVC (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 4.33333 mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.