Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6251
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
OO 6251 · MKE → ORD
departs 7:28 PM CT · arrives 8:28 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Wed 11/11 35%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 37%
Sat 11/14 38%
Sun 11/15 47%
Mon 11/16 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MKE (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.