Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6282
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
OO 6282 · ORD → MKE
departs 7:22 PM CT · arrives 8:13 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Wed 11/11 36%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 35%
Sat 11/14 40%
Sun 11/15 51%
Mon 11/16 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±9 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MKE (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.