Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6288 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow

OO 6288 · LAX → ELP

departs 8:54 PM PT · arrives 12:03 AM MT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 45h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±3 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Arrivals into ELP at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

ELP (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6288 · LAX → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?