Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6455
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
OO 6455 · ORD → MWA
departs 11:08 PM CT · arrives 12:32 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Thu 11/12
Sat 11/14 30%
Sun 11/15 30%
Mon 11/16 24%
Tue 11/17 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at MWA more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at MWA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MWA?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
11pm departures from ORD are often late
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into MWA at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
MWA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.