Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3018 LANDED 8:54 AM PT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, November 12 Today

SY 3018 · AUS → SBD

took off 8:23 AM CT · landed 8:54 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at SBD more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ SY's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↓ SBD usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SBD (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3018 · AUS → SBD

Odds over time