Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3026 LANDED 3:01 AM ET, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, November 12 Today

SY 3026 · TOL → LAL

took off 12:55 AM ET · landed 3:01 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at LAL more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at TOL that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ TOL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

TOL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.16 in

LAL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3026 · TOL → LAL

Odds over time