Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AVIANCA EL SALVADOR · FLIGHT TA 441 LANDED 4:06 PM CST, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, November 12 Yesterday

TA 441 · DFW → SAL

took off 1:03 PM CT · landed 4:06 PM CST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at SAL more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ SAL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

SAL (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

TA 441 · DFW → SAL

Odds over time